Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.578220 0.645208 0.717734 0.802238 0.898176 1.003923 1.129596
2025-03-09 0.479292 0.572341 0.681091 0.818226 0.987448 1.190584 1.454631
2025-03-16 0.414131 0.516750 0.642830 0.810383 1.029083 1.307413 1.692541
2025-03-23 0.373434 0.482901 0.622997 0.817426 1.083396 1.439033 1.958234
2025-03-30 0.335268 0.446597 0.594013 0.806211 1.108313 1.529792 2.174488
2025-04-06 0.306420 0.419012 0.572677 0.801224 1.138537 1.627705 2.408749
2025-04-13 0.273517 0.382364 0.534758 0.767809 1.122557 1.654489 2.536201
2025-04-20 0.257543 0.368051 0.526781 0.776425 1.168531 1.776924 2.825085
2025-04-27 0.243716 0.355472 0.519858 0.785269 1.214631 1.902785 3.133008
2025-05-04 0.230868 0.343159 0.512022 0.791432 1.256168 2.024248 3.446710
2025-05-11 0.218495 0.330508 0.502446 0.793541 1.290517 2.136100 3.755738
2025-05-18 0.209437 0.322267 0.498973 0.804960 1.341023 2.279875 4.139963
2025-05-25 0.194582 0.303975 0.478378 0.786512 1.338984 2.332158 4.361252
2025-06-01 0.187501 0.297818 0.477180 0.801205 1.397320 2.500701 4.834375
2025-06-08 0.176962 0.285149 0.464069 0.793623 1.413753 2.591519 5.160357
2025-06-15 0.169889 0.277787 0.459352 0.800495 1.457524 2.739092 5.625510
2025-06-22 0.160450 0.265729 0.445607 0.789543 1.465711 2.816260 5.946755
2025-06-29 0.152741 0.256180 0.435597 0.784672 1.485180 2.918053 6.337286
2025-07-06 0.141454 0.239642 0.412002 0.752035 1.445714 2.892067 6.425629
2025-07-13 0.136969 0.234994 0.409692 0.760451 1.491142 3.052441 6.984013
2025-07-20 0.132801 0.230652 0.407621 0.769089 1.537688 3.220094 7.585721
2025-07-27 0.128545 0.225882 0.404410 0.775108 1.579049 3.380389 8.193365
2025-08-03 0.124054 0.220404 0.399482 0.777168 1.611818 3.524248 8.780136